Traditionally, a stock fund investor who wanted to diversify a primarily
large-cap portfolio would turn to small caps. In recent years, however,
investors have begun to discover that mid-cap stock funds can also diversify
a large-cap portfolio, and typically with less risk (volatility) than small
caps.
What Are Mid Caps
The Frank Russell Company, creator of the Russell indexes, the standards used
by most investment firms, breaks the overall market down as follows:
| |
Range of Market Capitalization |
Number of stocks |
| Large Caps: |
| Russell Top 200 Index |
Over $12 billion |
200 |
| Mid Caps: |
|
Russell Midcap Index |
Between $1.6 billion- $12 billion |
800 |
| Small Caps: |
| Russell 2000 |
From $175 million - $1.6 billion |
2,000 |
Mid-caps make up roughly 20% of the U.S. stock market’s capitalization
(large caps make up roughly 70%, while small caps come in at about 10%).
While this once relatively ignored asset class has become more recognized
by investors in recent years, they still fall under some radar screens,
receiving somewhat less attention on Wall Street. And that means good opportunities
for smart investors.
Proven Growth
In fact, today, mid-sized companies are often described as the “sweet
spot” of the domestic stock market. By virtue of rising from small-
to mid-sized status, mid-cap companies have demonstrated that they can
grow, and their operations and management can effectively handle such growth.
So some of the risk associated with small caps has been removed. These
companies are essentially in the prime of their growth cycle, and are positioned
for exceptionally high return potential. And because of their size, they
are now better able to handle difficult times, and are less likely to go
into bankruptcy than a smaller company. While large-cap stocks are typically
even less volatile than mid-caps, their growth potential is generally less,
too.
The Most Successful Small Caps
In particular, companies that have matured from the small- to mid-cap range
have proven that they can sustain growth in their business beyond their
initial “idea.” They may have shown that they can broaden
their revenue stream, by adding new innovative products to their original
lineup. Or they have developed new distribution channels to service areas
they couldn’t before, by outsourcing and establishing strategic
alliances. The strength of management often grows along with the company,
as executives build in-depth experiences with the strains and demands
of building and managing a growing business. In short, many mid-caps
can be looked upon as the most successful small-caps. These tend to be
mid-cap growth stocks.
The Least Successful Large Caps
Of course, there is another way a company can fall into the mid-cap universe.
Large-cap stocks that do not stay competitive with their peers may eventually
slip back into the mid-cap range. While this can mean that the best is
over for these firms, that is certainly not always the case. They have
already shown they can grow, and they tend to have a solid infrastructure
in place. They may have slipped for a bit due to various circumstances,
but it is not uncommon for companies in this type of situation to right
themselves and climb back into the large-cap arena. Sometimes all it
takes is a new innovative product to revitalize the business. These tend
to be mid-cap value stocks.
Mid-Cap Performance
Given the characteristics of small-, mid- and large-cap companies, it is
reasonable to expect that mid-cap companies would have a return potential
somewhat lower than small caps, but higher than large caps. Similarly,
you would expect their returns to be less volatile compared to small
caps, but more volatile than large caps.
Unfortunately, due to the relatively recent upsurge in interest in the
mid-cap universe, reliable index data for mid-caps does not go back very
far. Over the last 1, 3 and 5 years, however, mid-caps have fared even
better than one might expect. While their volatilities have indeed fallen
between small- and large-caps, their returns have been better than both
-- as shown below:

While it is unlikely that mid-caps will continue to outperform both large- and small cap- stocks, a look at the relative volatilities of the three types of stocks over the same time periods is revealing:
We see above that while, as noted above, the volatility of mid-cap stocks has fallen between small and large caps, it has been much closer to large caps than to small caps (i.e. lower), particularly over the last three and five years.
This offers a tantalizing prospect. If mid-caps, by virtue of their “survival” beyond small-cap status, have volatilities similar to large caps, but still possess growth prospects that are more similar to small caps, then they truly may represent the “sweet spot” of the stock market. While not always offering the best absolute return potential, they may well offer the best combination of risk (volatility) and return, or risk-adjusted return.
The Bottom Line
Regardless of whether or not mid-caps ultimately prove to be the market’s
real sweet spot, a well-diversified portfolio today should have some exposure
to this overlooked area of the market, rather than just focusing on large
caps and small caps. In fact, under normal circumstances, given that
they make up
twice the percentage of the overall market as small caps, mid caps should
arguably have a larger representation in your portfolio. 