ETFs have exploded in popularity over the past few years. And for good reason,
they are attractive securities with many appealing features and potential uses.
But, like other engineered financial products, they can also be misused. In
fact, the greatest danger with ETFs is that they could reinforce the investor
behavior that is most detrimental to long-term investment success.
What Are ETFs?
An Exchange Traded Fund is a un-managed basket of securities (like an index
mutual fund) designed to follow a particular sector of the market. Unlike an
index fund, however, you can buy or sell an ETF at any point during the trading
day just like a stock, rather than only at the net asset value (NAV) at the
end of the day, as with a mutual fund.
Many ETFs are designed to track an existing index such as the S&P 500
or the Russell 2000, while others are created by their sponsors to mimic a
particular sector. There are hundreds of ETFs covering such areas as biotech
stocks, growth stocks, emerging markets, and even individual countries such
as Malaysia.
ETFs Offer Several Important Benefits
We are obviously fans of pooled portfolios of securities given that we primarily
use mutual funds, and like mutual funds, ETFs offer diversification, liquidity
and professional (although passive rather than active) management.
As we have written in this space, we care quite a bit about costs, and so
our typical mutual fund holding has a lower expense ratio than peers, as well
as a lower turnover ratio and tax cost ratio. ETFs also have low expenses,
low turnover, and are very tax efficient. ETFs can also avoid capital gains
because they can pay off redeeming shareholders with baskets of their underlying
portfolios' stocks instead of cash.
The additional liquidity offered by ETFs, in that you can get into and out
of them at any time in the market day, can also have its advantages (though
this attribute is a bit overrated for a couple of reasons that I will address
later).
But perhaps the most important benefit of ETFs is that they offer exposure
to many more niches of the market than are available through traditional index
funds. When building truly diversified portfolios, having the ability to access
so many style pure exposures clearly has value.
A Variety Of Investment Applications
There are a variety of ways that ETFs can be useful. An obvious use is in “tax
swaps.” If an investor holds a security with a loss (in a taxable account),
the investor could sell that position, then buy an ETF providing a similar
market exposure, thus “harvesting” the loss for tax purposes. After
the 30-day wash-sale period has expired, the investor can then swap back into
the original security. In effect, the investor was able to realize the economic
value of harvesting the tax loss without sacrificing their market exposure.
In a similar fashion, if a mutual fund is anticipating a significant capital
gain or income distribution, a taxable investor may not want to put money to
work in that fund until after the distribution. Again though, if the investor
wants that market exposure, then an ETF (or other mutual fund) could be used
in the interim.
As noted earlier, a key benefit of ETFs is their coverage of so many niche
areas of the market. This makes them quite useful for filling in the gaps in
a portfolio. If you are trying to build a truly diversified portfolio, but
cannot find an actively-managed fund that you like to fill a certain role in
the portfolio, there is probably an ETF that can do the job.
ETFs can also be used by active fund managers themselves to “equitize
cash.” Sometimes a money manager (or individual investor) may get some
significant inflows of assets to invest, but currently doesn’t have the
ideas or the ability to put all that cash to work in specific individual securities.
If the fund wants to be fully invested, they can quickly buy an ETF and get
the market exposure they desire. For example, Fidelity’s Mid Cap Growth
fund has nearly doubled its asset base in 2005, and Manager Bahaa Fam has made
use of an ETF — IShares Russell Midcap Growth — to put a portion
of that sharp increase to work fast and keep the funds holdings of cash to
just 1%.
Sophisticated managers, including many hedge fund managers, will “short” ETFs.
This means they actually sell the securities before they actually buy them.
While this maneuver can be used as an outright market call, it is also often
used as a “hedge.” For instance, a hedge fund manager may have
a large position in small cap stocks. Even though this manager may be a very
good stock-picker, they are also taking on considerable market risk, and particularly
to the small cap area of the market. If they want the fund’s return to
be primarily driven by stock selection rather than market direction, they could
short a small cap ETF. This will help offset the impact of market fluctuations
in small caps.
Potential Dangers To Avoid
Like any other investment vehicle, improper use can lead to trouble. This
brings us to the biggest problem I see with ETFs: the temptation to chase performance.
As the studies we have mentioned in the past have pointed out, the biggest
problem impacting investor returns is the basic investor behavior of buying
what has already gone up and selling what has already gone down. Granted all
types of investors chase performance, including mutual fund investors, but
the seductive appeal of apparently cheap, style pure ETFs that can be traded
at all hours will only encourage the short-term pursuit of the market's “hot
dots.” Just look at the asset flows into ETFs. Generally speaking, they
are going to areas of the market that have been doing well. This is a sign
of chasing short-term performance.
A related problem of being able to trade ETFs like stocks is that it obviously
becomes much easier to monitor and trade one’s portfolio. Looking at
prices in real-time can create more emotional responses and trading activity.
Neither is healthy for investment success. Generally speaking, investors who
decrease the frequency of how often they monitor their investments generally
do better. They don't “adjust” their portfolios at every market
wiggle or sensational headline; they just stay the course.
And, if you do trade more frequently, there are costs incurred in buying or
selling that you don’t have with a no-load, no-transaction fee mutual
fund for instance. First, like a stock, each time you buy or sell an ETF, you
incur a commission to be paid to the broker. Second, there is the additional “spread” cost
(the difference between the bid and ask prices). Active traders may think they
are saving money due to the ETFs' relatively low underlying expense ratios,
but transaction costs will nickel and dime their returns lower.
These additional transaction costs also make dollar-cost averaging difficult
to implement. Many mutual fund investors systematically invest a certain amount
each month. Using ETFs, however, means that transaction costs have to be paid
each time. Again, no-load, no transaction fee funds will not have that problem.
In addition, while an individual ETF may be tax efficient, that doesn't mean
that an investor in ETFs will be tax efficient. This is a critical distinction
that is often lost in the industry. A truly tax-aware investor, sometimes even
using tax inefficient vehicles, can often be more tax efficient than an investor
using all tax efficient products. Ultimately, tax efficiency is about many
things, such as the frequency of trading, awareness of holding periods, utilizing
tax harvesting and swap strategies, and avoiding distributions, among others.
An investor actively trading ETFs with no consideration of taxes will surely
generate plenty of taxable events and not necessarily positive ones either.
Summary
In sum, we think ETFs are an excellent addition to the industry. They not
only have appealing features, but they can be used in many interesting ways
(I’ll save the debate on active versus passive management for another
time). That said, like many other things in life, nothing is perfect and ETFs
are no exception. While many money managers are using ETFs in reasonable and
appropriate ways, it is a bit maddening to see so many people in or associated
with the investment industry, be it journalists or money managers, claim that
portfolios of ETFs are the way to go primarily because of the low costs — yet
the very portfolios they suggest are essentially short-term trading vehicles
that smack of performance chasing. While costs are indeed an important consideration
in maximizing investment returns, not having the discipline to maintain diversified
portfolios is much more destructive to creating and maintaining long-term wealth.
Sincerely,

Rusty Vanneman, CFA
Director of Research
Co-Portfolio
Manager